In the absence of the Americans, the situation is extremely destabilizing by the fact that the two “locomotives” of Europe – Germany and France – stopped at this critical moment.
The European Union is hesitant in the face of the threat of a Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the United States is preoccupied with internal problems and confrontation with China, so the UK should lead the fight against Moscow. This is written by British historian, author of the Telegraph newspaper Mark Almond. Korrespondent.net gives a translation of it articles.
EU rejection of Ukraine is a shame
While Europe is silent and America is distracted by domestic concerns, Britain should try to take the lead in turning its allies against Russian aggression.
Claims that Germany “blocked” RAF transport planes carrying anti-tank missiles to Ukraine and prevented them from flying over its territory seem to be an exaggeration.
But the truth is even worse. Berlin has blocked our aid to Kiev no more than it is willing to support Ukraine at all to stop a potential Russian invasion. Its passivity in the face of the looming crisis means that Berlin is not the backbone of Europe, but the vacuum of power at its heart.
It was hoped in the West that Angela Merkel’s departure last year would lead to less comfortable relations between Berlin and Moscow. The delay in the certification of the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline made it possible to make an assumption about Germany’s tougher line towards Russia.
But as tensions rise, the new government in Berlin seems to think that sweet talk in Kiev and Moscow will be enough to clear the clouds of war.
When Annalena Burbock was appointed foreign minister in Germany’s new coalition government last month, she seemed to have merged the Green Party agenda with the human rights agenda, putting her at odds with the Kremlin.
But Burbock’s statements in Kiev showed that her line is not much different from Angela Merkel’s, which has been incredibly weak since the 2014 Ukraine crisis.
Burbock’s double visit to Kiev and Moscow demoralized the Ukrainians and emboldened the Russians. They see that she has only words. Her hints at sanctions speak more about how little Germany will do than how decisively it will act.
Not only Germany is to blame for the split in NATO’s reaction to Ukraine. French President Emmanuel Macron has started a big game to assert the strategic sovereignty of a “united Europe” capable of concentrating all the diplomatic, military and economic weight of the continent.
But as trouble looms and the April re-election battle approaches, Macron chooses the path of strategic silence. To paraphrase Churchill, Macron’s grand strategy is “a riddle without a sphinx” to represent it.
Washington’s attention is torn between the domestic crisis in America, China, Taiwan, North Korea and the Middle East. This makes Brussels’ absence from the negotiating table, as the crisis in Eastern Europe escalates, a strong impediment to the EU’s dreams of being a key player in peace and security.
Unfortunately, Vladimir Putin sees an absent-minded American president in the White House and a scandal-ridden British prime minister in London. Ben Wallace, the British defense secretary, may see clouds on the horizon, but can Whitehall single-handedly inspire European allies?
In the absence of the Americans, the situation is extremely destabilizing by the fact that the two “locomotives” of Europe – Germany and France – stopped at this critical moment. Germany’s energy dependence on Russia and France’s dependence on the German-dominated European Central Bank in Frankfurt hinder Europe-wide support for NATO.
Remember how last year Macron and Merkel wanted to restart the dialogue between the EU and the Kremlin, without paying attention to other EU members. Paris and Berlin could become the bilingual voice of Europe, negotiating with the double-headed Russian eagle.
This perspective was rejected, not least by the Poles and the Baltics, but nothing clearer was offered in its place. Now Germany has revived this idea, but even without the participation of France.
Italy, like Germany, is heavily dependent on Russian gas. Like Paris, Rome is looking for leadership in Berlin. Vladimir Putin is perhaps more of an opportunist than a great strategist, but “Headless Europe” tips the scales in his favor, giving him the opportunity to grab as much as he can grab for now.
According to materials: InoSMI