a new search Questionsordered by Banco Genial Investimentosheld in Rio de Janeiro, shows a tie between former president Lula (PT) and Jair Bolsonaro (PL) among Rio de Janeiro voters: 35% to 35% of voting intentions in the presidential election.
According to the data, released this Tuesday (17), the PT fell 4 points and the current president grew in the same proportion. Added together, the other candidates dropped from 16% to 11%. Blanks and nulls rose from 11% to 15%. Undecided remain at 4%.
Ciro Gomes (PDT) has 6%, the best rate among the other candidates. João Doria (PSDB) and André Janones (Avante) each scored 2%. Simone Tebet (MDB) has 1%.
In the second round, Lula continues to beat Bolsonaro in the state by 47% to 38% – it was 47% to 36% in the previous poll, oscillations within the margin of error. Blanks and nulls dropped from 15% to 12%. Undecided were 2% and are 3%.
:: Lula follows leader, Bolsonaro parks and dispute changes little: what do the polls of the week say? ::
The Genial/Quaest RJ survey was carried out between May 12 and 15, with 1,200 face-to-face interviews at home in 46 municipalities in the state of Rio de Janeiro. The margin of error is 2.8 percentage points with 95% reliability. The research is registered with the TSE under the numbers BR-01548/2022 and RJ-09916/2022.
Governor of Rio
The study heard voters about their voting intentions for the election to the government of Rio de Janeiro. The result brings, in the scenario with the most names, governor Cláudio Castro (PL), pre-candidate for reelection, ahead of the dispute, with 25%, followed by federal deputy Marcelo Freixo (PSB), with 18%.
Then comes the former mayor of Niterói Rodrigo Neves (PDT), with 8%. State deputy André Ceciliano (PT) and federal deputy Paulo Ganime (Novo) also appear, with 2%, and former president of the Brazilian Bar Association (OAB) Felipe Santa Cruz (PSD), with 1%.
The proportion of those who say they will vote blank, cancel or fail to vote reaches 33%. The undecided represent 10%. The margin of error is plus or minus 2.8 percentage points.
Scenario I
Cláudio Castro (PL) – 25%;
Marcelo Freixo (PSB) – 18%;
Rodrigo Neves (PDT) – 8%;
André Ceciliano (PT) – 2%;
Paulo Ganime (New) – 2%;
Felipe Santa Cruz (PSD) – 1%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 33%;
Undecided – 10%.
Scenario II
Cláudio Castro (PL) – 26%;
Marcelo Freixo (PSB) – 19%;
Rodrigo Neves (PDT) – 8%;
Paulo Ganime (New) – 2%;
Felipe Santa Cruz (PSD) – 2%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 34%;
Undecided – 10%.
Scenario III
Cláudio Castro (PL) – 27%;
Marcelo Freixo (PSB) – 19%;
Rodrigo Neves (PDT) – 9%;
Paulo Ganime (New) – 3%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 33%;
Undecided – 10%.
second round
Scenario I
Cláudio Castro (PL) – 38%;
Marcelo Freixo (PSB) – 27%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 27%;
Undecided – 8%.
Scenario II
Cláudio Castro (PL) – 38%;
Rodrigo Neves (PDT) – 24%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 28%;
Undecided – 10%.
Scenario III
Marcelo Freixo (PSB) – 31%;
Rodrigo Neves (PDT) – 27%;
White/Null/Will not vote – 33%;
Undecided – 11%.
With information from Rede Brasil Atual and Revista Fórum.
Editing: Rebeca Cavalcante
