A new Datafolha poll released early this Thursday evening (26) shows former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 48% of voting intentions, against 40% of his opponents combined, indicating the possibility of victory in the first shift.
President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) appears next with 27%. Ciro Gomes (PDT) is in third place, with 7%, followed by André Janones (Avante) and Simone Tebet (MDB), with 2% each. Pablo Marçal (Pros) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU) have 1%. Whites and nulls add up to 7% and 4% said they did not know who to vote for. The other candidates did not reach 1%.
The survey is the first published by Datafolha after the withdrawal of Sergio Moro and João Doria. Datafolha highlights Lula’s strength among voters aged 16 to 24, where the former president reaches 58%. Bolsonaro appears with a higher percentage in the Midwest, where he reaches 42%.
Lula’s leadership in spontaneous research
Datafolha also shows Lula’s leadership in spontaneous research, when the names of the candidates are not mentioned. The former president appears with 38% against 22% for Bolsonaro. Those who say they are undecided add up to 29%.
In the previous survey, released on March 24, former president Lula had 43% of voting intentions and Bolsonaro appeared with 26%. The former judge Sérgio Moro (Podemos), with 8%, and João Doria (PSDB), 2% were still in the dispute. Ciro Gomes had 6%; André Janones, 2%, and Vera Lucia, Simone Tebet and Frederico D’Ávila had 1%. There were 6% who intended to vote blank or null, and 2% had no opinion.
This Thursday’s Datafolha survey interviewed, through a personal approach, 2,556 people in 181 municipalities, on May 25th and 26th. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points and the survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) by protocol BR-05166/2022.
Editing: Glauco Faria
