Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads the electoral race for the Presidency of the Republic, with 46% of the voting intentions, according to a new FSB/BTG poll, released this Monday morning (30). According to the survey, if the elections were held today, Lula would be elected in the first round.
The survey is the first carried out by the companies after the withdrawal of former São Paulo governor João Doria, who was a pre-candidate for the PSDB. With the departure of the toucan, Lula grew 5 percentage points. Click here to do the download of the study in its entirety.
:: New Datafolha poll shows Lula victory in the 1st round ::
The current president, Jair Bolsonaro (PL), appears in second place, with 32%, in the main scenario tested, with 11 pre-candidates. Former minister and ex-governor of Ceará Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears in third position, with 9%.
Senator Simone Tebet (MDB) got 2%, while federal deputy André Janones (Avante) got 1%. Leonardo Péricles (UP), Luciano Bivar (União Brasil), Sofia Manzano (PCB), Vera Lucia (PSTU), Eymael (DC) and Felipe D’Ávila (Novo) did not score. White, null and undecided totaled 8% of respondents.
If only valid votes are considered, Lula has 51%, which would therefore guarantee victory in the first round, which Datafolha had already demonstrated on Thursday (26).
Read the graphic:
“Contrary to what many imagined, the withdrawal of names from the so-called third way has reinforced the polarization between Lula and Bolsonaro. When Moro left, Bolsonaro grew. Now, with Doria’s departure, it was Lula’s turn to gain ground”, he highlighted. Marcelo Tokarski, managing partner of the FSB Research Institute.
In the second round simulation, Lula appeared 19 points ahead of Jair Bolsonaro. The PT member added up to 54% of voting intentions, against 35% for the current chief executive.
The poll surveyed 2,000 voters aged 16 and over between May 27 and 29. The interviews were done by telephone. The survey confidence index is 95%. The survey was carried out by the FSB Institute, contracted by the BTG Pactual bank and registered with the TSE (Superior Electoral Court) under protocol number BR-03196/2022.
Editing: Felipe Mendes