A new Datafolha survey will be launched early this Thursday evening (23). The release of the study is surrounded by expectations, as the research firm released only two electoral surveys in 2022.
The latest study carried out by Datafolha, in May of this year, showed former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) with 48% of voting intentions, against 40% of his opponents combined, indicating a great possibility of victory in the first round.
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The survey was the first released by the institute after the withdrawal of Sergio Moro and João Doria. Datafolha highlighted Lula’s strength among voters aged 16 to 24, where the former president reached 58%. Bolsonaro, on the other hand, appeared with a higher percentage in the Midwest, where he reached 42%.
President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) followed with 27%. Ciro Gomes (PDT) was third, with 7%, followed by André Janones (Avante) and Simone Tebet (MDB), with 2% each. Pablo Marçal (Pros) and Vera Lúcia (PSTU) had 1%. Whites and nulls add up to 7% and 4% said they did not know who to vote for.
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In May, Datafolha also showed Lula’s comfortable leadership in the spontaneous poll, when the names of the candidates are not mentioned. The former president appears with 38% against 22% for Bolsonaro. Those who say they are undecided add up to 29%.
In the previous survey, released on March 24, former president Lula had 43% of voting intentions and Bolsonaro appeared with 26%. Also in the dispute were former judge Sergio Moro (Podemos), with 8%, and João Doria (PSDB), 2%. Ciro Gomes had 6%; André Janones, 2%, and Vera Lucia, Simone Tebet and Frederico D’Ávila had 1%. There were 6% who intended to vote blank or null, and 2% had no opinion.
Questionnaire quotes Dom Phillips and Bruno Pereira
The Datafolha questionnaire that will be released this Thursday has some differences from the previous survey. Click here to do the download full version, available on the website of the Superior Electoral Court.
One of the blocks will be on the Amazon, in the wake of the murders of Brazilian indigenist Bruno Araújo Pereira and British journalist Dom Phillips. There are specific questions about the crime, asking whether the government did what it could to investigate the killings.
The study also asks whether the Bolsonaro government encourages or combats the action of poachers and illegal fishermen, the invasion of indigenous lands, deforestation and illegal mining in the Amazon.
Another block included is the country’s economic situation, more specifically hunger, a topic that promises to be central to the campaign. The institute included in the questionnaire questions to the respondent that can put the government in an uncomfortable situation, such as “is the amount of food in your house enough?”.
Editing: Vivian Virissimo
