Presidential candidate Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) has 41% of voting intentions in this year’s elections, followed by Jair Bolsonaro (PL), who has 32%, according to a BTG/FSB poll released this Monday ( 11).
The scenario is one of stability with PT leading the polls of voting intentions, considering a margin of error of two percentage points. In the previous poll, released on June 27, Lula appeared with 43% of voting intentions and Bolsonaro, with 33%.
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In third place, Ciro Gomes (PDT) appears, with 9% of voting intentions. Following are Simone Tebet (MDB), with 4%, André Janones (Avante), with 3%, and Luiz Felipe d’Avila (Novo), Vera Lúcia (PSTU) and Pablo Marçal (Pros), all with 1% of voting intentions. Luciano Bivar (União Brasil), Leonardo Péricles (UP), Eymael (DC), Sofia Manzano (PCB) did not score. Whites and nulls add up to 2%, those who would not vote for any of the candidates are 4% and those who did not respond or do not know are 2%.
In a second scenario, reduced only to pre-candidates who scored at least 1%, Lula has 42% of the intentions, Bolsonaro remains with 32%, as well as Ciro Gomes (9%), Tebet (4%) and Janones (3%). %). Only D’Ávila doesn’t have enough mentions to score. Here, blanks and nulls add up to 2%, those who don’t know or haven’t answered are another 2%.
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In a possible second round, Lula has 52% of voting intentions, compared to 37% for Bolsonaro. In a second round with Ciro Gomes, Lula would have 48% of the voting intentions, while the former governor of Ceará would score 30%. Already with senator Simone Tebet, it would be 52% for the PT and 27% for the senator.
With Bolsonaro in the second round scenarios, Ciro would have 8% of voting intentions against 38% of the retired captain; and Tebet would have 42% of the intentions and Bolsonaro 40%, technically tied with a margin of error of two percentage points.
The BTG/FSB survey also collected data on the assessment of the Bolsonaro government: 32% evaluate the management as excellent or good, compared to 29% indicated by the previous survey, on June 27. Another 20% evaluate the government as regular, compared to 21% in the previous survey. Finally, 47% evaluate the management as bad or very bad, 47% are, a decrease in relation to the 50% of the previous survey.
The data were collected from an interview with 2 thousand voters, between July 8 and 10, 2022. The survey is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under the number BR-09292/2022. The margin of error is plus or minus two percentage points, and the confidence interval is 95%.
Editing: Vivian Virissimo